The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias.
Non-conjecture observations of the market
No follow-through on D1 for an extension higher
H4 Evening Star into H4 Supply ZOI above QHi with consequent move below with some congestion at VWAP at the moment
M30 showing a break below VWAP into Friday’s Demand ZOI but pushing higher for the moment during AS (potential pullback to VWAP coinciding with D1 Supply conterminous 1.40928)
Market Profile
AS above PVAH but within London’s VA so the market is in balance for the moment
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
Move below D1 Supply conterminous 1.40928
Overall in line with larger time frame bearish narrative but now focus is still the Weekly Phase 3 being in play unless we can see a break down
Sentiment – Bearish
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
W1 conterminous supply 1.41851
D1 conterminous supply 1.40928
ZOIs for Possible Long
W1 conterminous demand 1.41108
H4 conterminous demand 1.40529
D1 conterminous demand 1.39504
Focus Points for trading development
Exit rules
Option 1: hold trade until noon (London time)
Option 2: Target hit (SL 20 pips or x2 TP)
NO OPTION 3
UNLESS a trade is entered within 1 hour or half hour before the hard exit rule option 1
Entry rules
No staring at M5 chart
Trade needs to have a target that has the chance of hitting min. X2 R/R
Use TPO confirmation or invalidation for directional decisions by looking for
TPO extension with a sustained move (BO from IB)
TPO extension with failed auction (return to IB)
How this direction of TPO extension relates to Value Area open sentiment
I will post trades including:
Trade location
Price action entry condition
What were TPOs doing at the time
With screenshot
Keep own approach of KC, VWAP as odd enhancers instead of hard trade locations