Premarket Prep USDCAD 05282020

This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for the Forex pair USDCAD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:

http://bearmarkettrader.com/2020/05/23/usdcad-week-22-trading-plan/

The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias.

Non-conjecture observations of the market

  • After a big drop from rejecting W1 QHi we took out Daily demand but yesterday we stayed around this level
  • Bounce off of previous H4 Demand (1.37297) with Bull Engulf but no follow through and created another conterminous supply at 1.37783
    • Price below KC and VWAP
  • Price tested new H4 conterminous supply 1.37783 during Asia session after creating some demand with new H4 conterminous demand 1.37525
  • Market Profile
    • London opened within value

Compared against Weekly Trading Plan

  • W1 Phase 3 demand broken and testing Weekly VWAP
  • First time ducking below Monthly conterminous supply 1.38162

Sentiment – Bearish

ZOIs for Possible Shorts

  • New H4 conterminous supply 1.37783

ZOIs for Possible Long

  • New H4 conterminous demand 1.37525
  • H4 conterminous demand 1.37297

Focus Points for trading development

  • Exit rules
    • Option 1: Time-based stop
    • Option 2: Target hit (SL 20 pips + spread or x2 TP)
    • NO OPTION 3
      • UNLESS a trade is entered within 1 hour or half hour before the hard exit rule option 1
  • Entry rules
    • Entry on TPO break of IB
    • Early entry with price action confirmation at 
      • H4 conterminous
      • Open far from value, anticipating a move back to value using an engulfing + subsequent break of TPO
    • Min. X2 R/R
    • Use TPO confirmation or invalidation for directional decisions by looking for in conjunction with H4 conterminous lines
      • TPO extension with a sustained move (BO from IB)
      • TPO extension with failed auction (return to IB)
      • How this direction of TPO extension relates to Value Area open sentiment
  • I will post trades including:
    • Trade location
    • Price action entry condition
    • What were TPOs doing at the time
    • With screenshot
  • Keep own approach of KC, VWAP as odd enhancers instead of hard trade locations

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