This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Click to Enlarge
Monthly – Bullish
MN Bull Engulf at MN VWAP in UT TC giving MN-C-D 1738.50
Price has traded higher continuing on the Bull Engulf trading within MN Supply
Weekly – Slightly Bullish
Price traded higher in a RBR closing below W1-C-S 1889.818 and W1 QHi
Daily – Slightly Bullish
D1 closed higher after taking out D1 Supply currently trading below D1 QHi
Sentiment summary – Slightly Bullish
Even though price traded higher after taking out D1 Supply price is still trading below W1/D1 QHi and W1 Supply and is slowing down. Price has tested W1 Supply and D1/W1 QHi 3 times but still managed to close higher so unless D1 closes below the current formation there could be a continuation to the move. Having arrived at this large W1 Supply going long is riskier although with nearing MN QHi there could be a continuation to the move first before reversing. More trading data is needed before confirming a Reversal.
Additional notes
N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
W1-C-S 1889.818
ZOIs for Possible Long
D1-C-D 1825.85
Focus Points for trading development
Monthly Goals
No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
Feeling okay with NOT trading
Have ‘quieter’ weekends
Weekly Goal
Min. 3 times hitting the gym + mandatory cardio
Aim to have a minimum of ONE TRADE per trading day
Trading Rules
Be mindful of DTTZs
Only price-action based exit rules (or hit time stop)
IF NOT… I will do a Bart Simpsons exercise of 7 days, 50 sentences of: “I will trust my trading skills and take my exits accordingly”.
M15/M30 combination at 1st DTTZ, M5 entries and exits at 2nd DTTZ
Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise.
Risk Management
At least 1 trade with 1% risk, 2nd trade only if first one worked out
Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking