Gold Week 21 Trading Plan

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This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out. 

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Monthly – Bullish

  • MN Bull Engulf at MN VWAP in UT TC giving MN-C-D 1738.50
  • Price has traded higher continuing on the Bull Engulf trading within MN Supply

Weekly – Slightly Bullish

  • Price traded higher in a RBR closing below W1-C-S 1889.818 and W1 QHi

Daily – Slightly Bullish

  • D1 closed higher after taking out D1 Supply currently trading below D1 QHi 

Sentiment summary – Slightly Bullish

  • Even though price traded higher after taking out D1 Supply price is still trading below W1/D1 QHi and W1 Supply and is slowing down. Price has tested W1 Supply and D1/W1 QHi 3 times but still managed to close higher so unless D1 closes below the current formation there could be a continuation to the move. Having arrived at this large W1 Supply going long is riskier although with nearing MN QHi there could be a continuation to the move first before reversing. More trading data is needed before confirming a Reversal. 

Additional notes

  • N.A.

ZOIs for Possible Shorts

  • W1-C-S 1889.818

ZOIs for Possible Long

  • D1-C-D 1825.85 

Focus Points for trading development

  • Monthly Goals
    • No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
    • Feeling okay with NOT trading
    • Have ‘quieter’ weekends
  • Weekly Goal
    • Min. 3 times hitting the gym + mandatory cardio
    • Aim to have a minimum of ONE TRADE per trading day
  • Trading Rules
    • Be mindful of DTTZs
    • Only price-action based exit rules (or hit time stop)
      • IF NOT… I will do a Bart Simpsons exercise of 7 days, 50 sentences of: “I will trust my trading skills and take my exits accordingly”.
    • M15/M30 combination at 1st DTTZ, M5 entries and exits at 2nd DTTZ
    • Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise. 
  • Risk Management
    • At least 1 trade with 1% risk, 2nd trade only if first one worked out
    • Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
    • 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING

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