This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
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Monthly – Bearish
MN QHI rejected, currently mid swing
Price closed below MN Supply forming an Evening Star but with a slight reaction off MN-C-D 1739.674
Price tested MN-C-S 1768.539 and shown some reaction
Weekly – Neutral
W1 ‘flimsy’ bull engulf with no follow-through, instead a spinning top formed with slightly longer selling wick but failed to close within newly formed W1-C-D 1754.182
Daily – Bearish
D1 DBD (in line with D1 VWAP in DT) with multiple test of D1 supply at MN/D1-C-S 1768.539
Price trading above D1 QLo
Sentiment summary – Bearish
MN trading at the bottom of last month’s range and shown reaction of overhead supply
Price trading within W1 Supply but still above newly formed W1 demand although demand has been tested currently for the second time.
Consecutive D1 DBD with no close within D1 QLo (although it has been tested many times) and with a larger timeframe bearish sentiment D1 QLo could get taken out.
Additional notes
N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
MN/D1-C-S 1768.539
ZOIs for Possible Long
W1-C-D 1754.182
MN-C-D 1739.674
Focus Points for trading development
Monthly Goals
No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
Total of 20 trades by the end of the month, preferably 2 a day (not in the same product at the same time)
Weekly Goal
Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
No early exits, either hit SL or 2R target, latest cut-off 1:30 London time