Premarket Prep GBPNZD 06102020 - Bear Market Trader
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Premarket Prep GBPNZD 06102020

Premarket Prep GBPNZD 06102020

This is my pre­mar­ket prep for today’s Euro­pean ses­sion for the Forex pair GBPNZD. This prep builds off of my week­ly trade plan I made here:

The pur­pose of a pre­mar­ket prep is to find setups with­in my week­ly trade plan bias.

Non-con­jec­ture obser­va­tions of the market

  • Dai­ly is show­ing a rejec­tion of D1-C‑D 1.94437 through a bull­ish engulf­ing with D1-C‑D 1.94705 NEW
  • New­ly formed Demand ZOIs H4-C‑D 1.94244 NEW and RBR H4-C‑D 1.94740 NEW (coin­cid­ing with D1-C‑D 1.94705 NEW). Price con­tin­ued high­er and formed an evening star with H4-C‑S 1.95529 NEW
    • Price has pre­vi­ous­ly crossed over VWAP and cur­rent­ly VWAP is coin­cid­ing with H4-C‑D 1.94740 NEW and D1-C‑D 1.94705 NEW
  • M30 show­ing a cross down of VWAP after uptrend find­ing demand M30-C‑D 1.95135 NEW just above pre­vi­ous demand
  • Mar­ket Profile
    • Price returned to VAH and is con­sol­i­dat­ing slight under­neath it (cur­rent­ly with­in val­ue and thus some bal­anc­ing is going on, need fur­ther assess­ment at open)

Com­pared against Week­ly Trad­ing Plan

  • Price con­tin­ues to trade with­in D1/W1 QLo
  • D1 bull engulf in line with price hit­ting Month­ly VWAP lev­el and Week­ly Demand ZOI

Sen­ti­ment — Neutral

ZOIs for Pos­si­ble Shorts

  • H4-C‑S 1.95529 NEW

ZOIs for Pos­si­ble Long

  • W1-C‑D 1.95334
  • H4-C‑D 1.94740 NEW
  • D1-C‑D 1.94705 NEW
  • D1-C‑D 1.94437
  • H4-C‑D 1.94244 NEW

Focus Points for trad­ing development

  • Exit rules
    • Option 1: Time-based stop
    • Option 2: Tar­get hit (SL (98/4) 25 pips + spread or x2 TP)
    • NO OPTION 3
      • UNLESS a trade is entered with­in 1 hour or half hour before the hard exit rule option 1
  • Entry rules
    • Cut off look­ing for trades at 11:15
    • Entry on TPO break of IB
    • Ear­ly entry with price action con­fir­ma­tion at 
      • H4 con­ter­mi­nous
      • Open far from val­ue, antic­i­pat­ing a move back to val­ue using an engulf­ing + sub­se­quent break of TPO
    • Min. X2 R/R
    • Use TPO con­fir­ma­tion or inval­i­da­tion for direc­tion­al deci­sions by look­ing for in con­junc­tion with H4 con­ter­mi­nous lines
      • TPO exten­sion with a sus­tained move (BO from IB)
      • TPO exten­sion with failed auc­tion (return to IB)
      • How this direc­tion of TPO exten­sion relates to Val­ue Area open sentiment

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