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Bear Market Trader | Premarket Prep GBPNZD - London session
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Premarket Prep GBPNZD 20210602

Premarket Prep GBPNZD 20210602

#fin­twit #order­flow #day­trad­ing #pre­mar­ket­prep #GBPNZD #Forex­trad­er #forex #FX #Forexlifestyle #day­trade #trade­plan #trad­ing­plan #trad­ing­forex #trad­inglifestyle #day­trader­life 

This is my pre­mar­ket prep for today’s Euro­pean ses­sion for the Forex pair GBPNZD. This prep builds off of my week­ly trade plan I made here:

The pur­pose of a pre­mar­ket prep is to find setups with­in my week­ly trade plan bias

Week­ly Focus Points

  • Min. 3 times work­ing out at home + manda­to­ry cardio
  • Trad­ing rules
    • Focus on tak­ing ONE trade a day. If I missed the first DTTZ then a trade needs to be tak­en on the 2nd DTTZ unless there is a high/medium ini­tia­tive activ­i­ty day.
    • Only price-action based exit rules (or if hit time stop comes earlier)
    • M15/M30 entries and exits at 1st DTTZ, M5 entries and exits at 2nd DTTZ
    • Buffer trades (prof­it tar­get >1R) are allowed and encouraged
    • 13 trades by the end of the month
  • No social media / mes­sen­ger apps / phone calls allowed dur­ing the trad­ing window
Click to Enlarge

Com­pared against Week­ly Trad­ing Plan

  • Price trad­ing below last week’s body and with­in range of buy­ing wick

Non-con­jec­ture obser­va­tions of the market

  • Price action
    • D1 trad­ed down with slight­ly longer buy­ing wick react­ing off D1-C‑D 1.94889 and test­ed D1-C‑S 1.95621
    • H4 react­ing off H4 QLo before form­ing a DBD
  • Trend: H4 Up, D1 Up, W1 Up
    • Pre­vail­ing trend: Trend is UP
  • Mar­ket Profile
    • 2‑day over­lap­ping values
  • Dai­ly Range
    • ADR: 1206
    • ASR: 846
      • 22
    • Day
      • Yes­ter­day’s High 1.95715
      • Yes­ter­day’s Low 1.94306

Sen­ti­ment

  • Loca­tions
    • H4-C‑D 1.95094 inside val­ue at VAL
    • D1-C‑D 1.94889 below val­ue out­side range
  • Sen­ti­ment
    • LN open
      • Above Val­ue, Out­side Range
    • Open dis­tance to value
      • 0.4xASR
    • Pre­mar­ket
      • H4 Bull Engulf formed on top of D1 demand giv­ing H4-C‑D 1.95094 clos­ing slight­ly with­in D1 Supply
    • Nar­ra­tive
      • Mod­er­ate to Large Imbal­ance due to slight open­ing above range at ADR 0.5 high. Due to poten­tial­ly hav­ing start­ed the sum­mer­time chop sea­son price could have the ten­den­cy to con­tin­ue bal­anc­ing in line with the 2‑day over­lap­ping val­ues. Mak­ing a big move from recent­ly formed D1 demand in pre­mar­ket com­bined with an open above val­ue the sen­ti­ment favors longs a bit for a poten­tial Return to Val­ue play. 
  • Clar­i­ty (1–5, 5 being best)
    • 3
  • Hypo 1 — Swing Reversal
    • Nar­ra­tive: D1 Sup­ply, over­lap­ping val­ues, price trad­ing at the top of the range,
    • Pre­ferred: Strong Bear­ish PA, IB exten­sion down, sus­tained to val­ue edge, mon­i­tor for VAA
    • Con: Big H4 move premarket
  • Hypo 2 — Trend Con­tin­u­a­tion / Return to Value
    • Nar­ra­tive: Big H4 move pre­mar­ket, open sentiment
    • Pre­ferred: strong Bull­ish PA with IB exten­sion up and sus­tained auc­tion tak­ing out over­head sup­ply oth­er­wise a poten­tial pull­back to val­ue edge to PA rever­sal to failed auction,
    • Con: pos­si­ble bal­anc­ing over­all market

Addi­tion­al notes

  • Cap­i­tal Preser­va­tion Rule in effect

ZOIs for Pos­si­ble Shorts

  • D1-C‑S 1.95621

ZOIs for Pos­si­ble Long

  • H4-C‑D 1.95094
  • D1-C‑D 1.94889

Mind­ful Trad­ing (lack of sleep?)

  • Feel­ing a bit anx­ious so will be a bit care­ful. Also, with being the first day of the month I do not need to go wild on the first day.

Focus Points for trad­ing development

  • Month­ly Goals
    • No momen­tum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
    • Total of 13 trades by the end of the month
  • Week­ly Goal
    • Min. 3 times work­ing out at home + manda­to­ry cardio
  • Risk Man­age­ment
    • With­out forc­ing a trade: aim to take 1 trade a day, if pos­si­ble 2. 
    • Cap­i­tal Preser­va­tion dur­ing draw­down allows for 1R profit-taking
    • 2 con­sec­u­tive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING

T3chAddict
t3chaddict@bearmarkettrader.com

Day trader. Tech geek. Sim racer/Pilot.

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