Gold 2022 Week 23 Trading Plan

#fintwit #XAUUSD #GOLD #MarketProfile #Orderflow

This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out. 

Monthly – Bearish

  • MN Bear Engulf giving MN-C-S 1905.787 rejecting MN QHi
  • Price continued to close down but reacted off MN demand leaving a longer buying wick closing above MN demand
  • Conjecture: Even though MN closed down rejecting MN QHi, the longer buying wick not closing within demand indicates buyers could still be around and some retracement higher is possible.

Weekly – Bullish

  • W1 Bullish Inside Bar at W1 QLo with no real continuation, instead some consolidation
  • Conjecture: W1 QLo is technically rejected although there is some consolidation it could just be a speedbump before closing higher. 

Daily – Neutral

  • D1 Three Outside Up giving D1-C-D 1847.148 breaking out from D1 VWAP in DT
  • Followed by a Bearish Inside Bar testing newly formed demand
  • D1 QLo rejected, price trading mid swing
  • Conjecture: D1 Three Outside Up closed above previous range and far above D1 VWAP. Price then reversed and closed as a Bearish Inside Bar although failing to close within newly formed demand. Price could see a move higher unless price manages to close within demand or better take it out. 

Sentiment summary – Neutral

Additional notes

  • Blackswan event

Focus Points for trading development

  • Monthly Goals
    • No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
    • No early exits, either hit SL or target
    • Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
  • Risk Management
    • 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING

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