This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Price continued to close down but reacted off MN demand leaving a longer buying wick closing above MN demand
Conjecture: Even though MN closed down rejecting MN QHi, the longer buying wick not closing within demand indicates buyers could still be around and some retracement higher is possible.
Weekly – Bullish
W1 Bullish Inside Bar at W1 QLo with no real continuation, instead some consolidation
Conjecture: W1 QLo is technically rejected although there is some consolidation it could just be a speedbump before closing higher.
Daily – Neutral
D1 Three Outside Up giving D1-C-D 1847.148 breaking out from D1 VWAP in DT
Followed by a Bearish Inside Bar testing newly formed demand
D1 QLo rejected, price trading mid swing
Conjecture: D1 Three Outside Up closed above previous range and far above D1 VWAP. Price then reversed and closed as a Bearish Inside Bar although failing to close within newly formed demand. Price could see a move higher unless price manages to close within demand or better take it out.
Sentiment summary – Neutral
Additional notes
Blackswan event
Focus Points for trading development
Monthly Goals
No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
No early exits, either hit SL or target
Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups