This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Click to Enlarge
Monthly – Neutral
MN closed as a RBR with some selling wick reacting off MN Supply and closing below MN QHi
Weekly – Neutral
Price started reacting off W1 QHi and closed as a Pinbar
Daily – Bearish
Possible D1 Phase 3
Price closed below overall range but saw no follow through to the newly formed D1-C-S 1906.011
Sentiment summary – Neutral
Even though MN traded higher taking out some supply it has closed below MN QHi and left a selling wick reacting off old supply
W1 has seen large selling coming in reacting off W1 QHi but has not completed a reversal pattern (yet). It could be a developing Three Outside Down but price could also see a continuation
There is a possible D1 Phase 3 which could indicate a beginning of a larger timeframe reversal. However, price would need to break the formation.
Additional notes
Friday: NFP
Due to the conflict in Russia there might be more buying pressure coming in
Focus Points for trading development
Monthly Goals
No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
No early exits, either hit SL or target
Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups