This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Click to Enlarge
Monthly – Neutral
MN closed as a RBR with some selling wick reacting off MN Supply and closing below MN QHi
Weekly – Neutral
Price started reacting off W1 QHi and closed as a Pinbar
Daily – Bearish
Possible D1 Phase 3
Price closed below overall range but saw no follow through to the newly formed D1-C-S 1906.011
Sentiment summary – Neutral
Even though MN traded higher taking out some supply it has closed below MN QHi and left a selling wick reacting off old supply
W1 has seen large selling coming in reacting off W1 QHi but has not completed a reversal pattern (yet). It could be a developing Three Outside Down but price could also see a continuation
There is a possible D1 Phase 3 which could indicate a beginning of a larger timeframe reversal. However, price would need to break the formation.
Additional notes
Friday: NFP
Due to the conflict in Russia there might be more buying pressure coming in
Focus Points for trading development
Monthly Goals
No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
No early exits, either hit SL or target
Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
We use necessary cookies to operate this website and optional cookies for preferences and analytics. You can accept or reject optional cookies, manage your choices, and change them at any time.
Functional
Always active
The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
Preferences
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
Statistics
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes.The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
Marketing
The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.