Premarket Prep USDCAD 05262020

This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for the Forex pair USDCAD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:

http://bearmarkettrader.com/2020/05/23/usdcad-week-22-trading-plan/

The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias.

Non-conjecture observations of the market

  • There is a rally with consequent base on the Daily but in order to conclude a drop we’d need a close on today’s candle
  • H4 showing some Phase 3 price action after the Bearish Engulfing (at W1 QHi) last Friday (crossed down VWAP)
  • Price almost near H4 Demand ZOI and D1 QLo
  • No reaction at D1 Demand conterminous (yet)
  • Market Profile
    • Price is below PVA

Compared against Weekly Trading Plan

  • W1 Phase 3 still in effect

Sentiment – Bearish

ZOIs for Possible Shorts

  • MN Conterminous Supply (best) 1.39511

ZOIs for Possible Long

  • D1 Conterminous Demand 1.39511
  • H4 Conterminous Demand 1.39312 & D1 QLo

Focus Points for trading development

  • Exit rules
    • Option 1: Time-based stop
    • Option 2: Target hit (SL 20 pips + spread or x2 TP)
    • NO OPTION 3
      • UNLESS a trade is entered within 1 hour or half hour before the hard exit rule option 1
  • Entry rules
    • No consideration of ‘patterns’. Price action + trade location (higher timeframe taking precedence over lower)
    • Min. X2 R/R
    • Use TPO confirmation or invalidation for directional decisions by looking for in conjunction with H4 conterminous lines
      • TPO extension with a sustained move (BO from IB)
      • TPO extension with failed auction (return to IB)
      • How this direction of TPO extension relates to Value Area open sentiment
  • I will post trades including:
    • Trade location
    • Price action entry condition
    • What were TPOs doing at the time
    • With screenshot
  • Keep own approach of KC, VWAP as odd enhancers instead of hard trade locations

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