20210818 Missed Trade DAX - Bear Market Trader
Missed Trade Review, Reviewing Trades, CPT, Consistently Profitable Trader, day trading,

20210818 Missed Trade DAX

20210818 Missed Trade DAX

Play: Frankie Fake­out / Failed Auction

#fin­twit #order­flow #day­trad­ing #trad­in­gre­view #price­ac­tion #chartre­view #DAX #DE30 #DE30Cash #missed­trade

These are trades I could have tak­en but for some rea­son I did not. This could be due to me not pay­ing atten­tion or sim­ply not feel­ing like trad­ing. This is usu­al­ly the case when I am not in the right state of mind due to lack of sleep, per­son­al issues, etc.

Rea­son for miss­ing the trade (explain the narrative)

Larg­er time­frame bull­ish sen­ti­ment. Pull­back on D1. Open 0.26xASR above val­ue, out­side range. Large imbal­ance but still rel­a­tive­ly close to val­ue edge. Val­ue got accept­ed but to go short in equi­ties an open below val­ue sen­ti­ment is more favored. 

After price rotat­ed about 90% through val­ue hit­ting M30 QLo after C and D extend­ed below the lat­ter closed with­in IB as a Bull­ish Inside Bar. This was the entry signal. 

I didn’t get in long as there were 2 TPOs that made a LL below IB and E had trad­ed below IB as well so hes­i­tat­ed. I know that the actu­al play was a Frankie Fake­out set­up coin­cid­ing with a Failed Auction. 

Click to Enlarge

What hypo was it?

Hypo 2

Return to Val­ue, Rever­sal at val­ue edge or Failed Auc­tion, demand with­in val­ue pos­si­ble bounce from with­in value

What would have been the Entry?

Trade 1

DTTZ: 1st

Entry Method: M30 Bull­ish Inside Bar

How was the SL place­ment and sizing?

Trade 1

SL place­ment: I used a stan­dard SL siz­ing in the screen­shot but this could have been tighter cre­at­ing a bet­ter R mul­ti­ple. This is my main goal going forth. I need to get bet­ter R‑multiples to have a bet­ter expectancy. 

How was the prof­it target?

Trade 1

Prof­it tar­get: 2+ R at IB High

What would a price action-based exit have done for the trade?

Trade 1

Exit: 0.2R

What would a time-based exit have done for the trade?

Trade 1

Exit: 0.8

TAGS: above val­ue, out­side range, large imbal­ance, Frankie Fake­out, Trend is up 2/3,

Extra Obser­va­tions


Pre­mar­ket prep on the day

Dai­ly Report Card on the day


Day trader. Tech geek. Sim Racing Enthusiast.

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