20211025 Premarket Prep DAX

25 Oct 20211025 Premarket Prep DAX

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This is my pre­mar­ket prep for today’s Euro­pean ses­sion for DAX. This prep builds off of my week­ly trade plan I made here:

DAX 2021 Week 43 Trad­ing Plan

The pur­pose of a pre­mar­ket prep is to find setups with­in my week­ly trade plan bias

Com­pared against Week­ly Trad­ing Plan

• Last week closed as a pos­si­ble Base at a pre­vi­ous W1 Sup­ply Base lev­el but with near­by MN C‑sup
• Price is trad­ing with­in last week’s body

Non-con­jec­ture obser­va­tions of the market

• Price action
  • Price trad­ing below D1 Sup­ply with near­by MN C‑Sup
  • Price gapped down a lit­tle over the week­end but has since closed the gap
• Trend: H4 Up, D1 Down, W1 Up
  • Pre­vail­ing trend: MIXED Trend
• Mar­ket Profile
  • Wide val­ue cre­at­ed above the pre­vi­ous 5‑day brack­et­ing range
• Dai­ly Range
  • ADR: 12811
  • ASR: 12396
    • 3100
  • ASR Short: 10469
    • 2600
  • Day
    • Yes­ter­day’s High 15613.95
    • Yes­ter­day’s Low 15469.93

Sen­ti­ment

• LN open
  • Open With­in Value
• Open dis­tance to value
  • N.A.
• Nar­ra­tive
  • Bal­anc­ing Mar­ket. Wide val­ue cre­at­ed above the 5‑day brack­et­ing range. IBR tra­versed 0.5xASR. Asia trad­ed and closed high­er below D1 Sup­ply. Price is still trad­ing at MN C‑Sup and with one week to go there might still be a reaction. 
• Clar­i­ty (1–5, 5 being best)
  • 3
• Hypo 1
  • Failed Auc­tion Long
• Hypo 2
  • Strength From With­in IBR, after an ini­tial exten­sion up
• Hypo 3
  • Weak­ness From With­in IBR, after an ini­tial exten­sion down
• Hypo 4
  • Sus­tained Auc­tion Up

Addi­tion­al notes

• N.A.

ZOIs for Pos­si­ble Shorts

• Not favored in equities
• D1-C‑S 15588.27
• MN-C‑S 15561.74

ZOIs for Pos­si­ble Long

• W1-C‑D 15290.73

Mind­ful Trad­ing (lack of sleep?)

• Feel­ing Okay

Focus Points for trad­ing development

• Month­ly Goals
  • No momen­tum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
  • Total of 20 trades by the end of the month, prefer­ably 2 a day (not in the same prod­uct at the same time) 
  • No ear­ly exits, either hit SL or 2R target
  • Use SL scal­ing in case the prof­it tar­get for the set­up doesn’t pro­vide 2R for exam­ple for FA or VAA setups
• Process
  • Keep trade review com­ments short
• Risk Man­age­ment
  • 2 con­sec­u­tive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING

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