DAX 2021 Week 33 Trading Plan

14 Aug DAX 2021 Week 33 Trading Plan

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This is my week­ly out­look on DAX. The lev­els that I will be look­ing at with a high­er prob­a­bilis­tic chance the mar­ket will start react­ing. Dur­ing the ses­sion I then wait for the mar­ket to hit those lev­els and either con­firm or reject my bias through price action con­fir­ma­tion and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to peo­ple that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out. 

Month­ly — Bullish

• Last month ducked below the pre­vi­ous month’s low to then close as a near-Doji with long buy­ing wick (Drag­on­fly doji). Sell­ing wick not mak­ing a HH. Some slow-down through a poten­tial base but need anoth­er month to con­firm or reject. 
• Price trad­ing above last month’s body and out­side range

Week­ly — Bullish

• W1 Sup­ply got tak­en out and closed higher
• Poten­tial W1 Phase 2

Dai­ly — Bullish

• D1 Sup­ply got tak­en out after a con­sol­i­da­tion and break higher

Sen­ti­ment sum­ma­ry — Bullish

• MN pos­si­bly devel­op­ing a Ral­ly after a base was formed last month mak­ing an all-time high
• W1 Sup­ply got tak­en out after reac­cu­mu­la­tion in line with W1 VWAP in UT TC
• D1 Phase 2 con­tin­ued after some slow­down before tak­ing out D1 supply

Addi­tion­al notes

• Aug 15, 07:00, EUR, The Assump­tion Holiday

ZOIs for Pos­si­ble Shorts

• N.A.

ZOIs for Pos­si­ble Long

• D1-C‑D 15756.47
• D1-C‑D 15547.73

Focus Points for trad­ing development

• Month­ly Goals
  • No momen­tum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
  • Total of 13 trades by the end of the month
• Week­ly Goal
  • Week­ly Focus Points
  • Min. 3 times work­ing out at home + manda­to­ry cardio
  • Trad­ing rules
  • Focus on tak­ing ONE trade a day. If I missed the first DTTZ then a trade needs to be tak­en on the 2nd DTTZ unless there is a high/medium ini­tia­tive activ­i­ty day.
  • Only price-action based exit rules (or if hit time stop comes earlier)
  • M15/M30 entries and exits at 1st DTTZ, M5 entries and exits at 2nd DTTZ
  • Buffer trades (prof­it tar­get >1R) are allowed and encouraged
  • Use SL scal­ing in case the prof­it tar­get for the set­up doesn’t pro­vide 2R for exam­ple for FA or VAA setups
  • No social media / mes­sen­ger apps / phone calls allowed dur­ing the trad­ing window
• Risk Man­age­ment
  • With­out forc­ing a trade: aim to take 1 trade a day, if pos­si­ble 2. 
  • Cap­i­tal Preser­va­tion dur­ing draw­down allows for 1R profit-taking
  • 2 con­sec­u­tive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING

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