This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Click to Enlarge
Monthly – Bearish
Price formed a Bear Engulf (although to me it is more of a consolidation) back in June rejecting MN QHi with no follow-through. Instead price has been trading within the supply (MN-C-S 1768.539) it had formed with last month closing as a DragonFly Doji reacting off MN-D-C 1739.674 (coinciding with MN VWAP in UT TC). To which price is currently trading below as well as just ducking below MN supply (coinciding with MN VWAP in UT)
Weekly – Bearish
W1 QHi rejected followed by W1 Bear Engulf with continuation arriving at W1 QLo
Daily – Bearish
D1 Three Inside Down rejecting D1 QHi with price currently trading mid-swing
D1 Morning Star formed giving D1-C-D 1754.268 below D1 LKC above MN-C-D 1739.674
Sentiment summary – Bearish
MN price is trading below MN supply and reached MN-C-D 1739.674 (coinciding with MN VWAP in UT).
W1 failed to take out W1 supply and continued down trading still above W1 QLo, MN and W1 demand
D1 reacted slightly after reaching MN demand through a Morning Star. If price fails to close lower there might be a slight pullback first before continuing down
Additional notes
Sep 23, 02:00, USD, Fed Interest Rate Decision
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
W1-C-S 1807.592
D1-C-S 1794.187
MN-C-S 1768.539
ZOIs for Possible Long
D1-C-D 1754.268
MN-D-C 1739.674
Focus Points for trading development
Monthly Goals
No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
Total of 20 trades by the end of the month, preferably 2 a day (not in the same product at the same time)
Weekly Goal
Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
No early exits, either hit SL or 2R target, latest cut-off 1:30 London time
We use necessary cookies to operate this website and optional cookies for preferences and analytics. You can accept or reject optional cookies, manage your choices, and change them at any time.
Functional
Always active
The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
Preferences
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
Statistics
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes.The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
Marketing
The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.