This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
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Monthly – Neutral
MN closed as a RBR with some selling wick reacting off MN Supply and closing below MN QHi
Price trading below MN-C-S 1965.163 but still within MN QHi
Price trading within last month’s range after having extended and made a HH
Weekly – Neutral
W1 Evening Star rejecting W1 QHi and W1 C-Sup
Last week closed as a Bullish Inside Bar (no complete retracement to newly formed supply)
Daily – Bullish
D1 Consolidation and break high
D1 Base with longer buying wick formed below MN C-Sup
D1 QHi rejection
Sentiment summary – Neutral
MN started reacting off MN QHi and MN Supply after having made a HH
W1 formed a Bullish Inside Bar after having rejected W1 QHi. If price sees a follow-through testing newly formed W1 C-Sup it could possibly see a continuation.
Even though D1 QHi got rejected, the price has shown strength mid swing. Price retraced to MN supply and formed a base. More information is needed if the move is sustained higher.
Additional notes
Blackswan event
Apr 01, 20:30, USD, Non Farm Payrolls (Mar)
Focus Points for trading development
Monthly Goals
No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
No early exits, either hit SL or target
Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups