This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
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Monthly – Bullish
Price made a HH and closed within MN QHi as an Inverted Hammer leaving a long selling wick reacting off and closing below MN-C-S 1965.163
Weekly – Bearish
W1 Evening Star rejecting W1 QHi
No continuation instead a consolidation
Possible Phase 1 / 3
Daily – Neutral
D1 QHi rejected
Possible D1 Phase 1 / 3
Sentiment summary – Neutral
MN Inverted Hammer could see a continuation higher. Although selling wick could see sellers coming in.
W1 Consolidation after QHi rejection, possible phase 3 but would need a break from range. Bottom of the range could be good for longs and vice versa.
D1 showing possible Phase 1 / 3, although coming from D1 QHi rejection. Price would need to break below/above the range
Additional notes
Blackswan event
Had a long weekend off
April 14th, metals and indices market closed (not relevant for this week)
Focus Points for trading development
Monthly Goals
No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
No early exits, either hit SL or target
Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups