This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
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Monthly – Bullish
Price made a HH and closed within MN QHi as an Inverted Hammer leaving a long selling wick reacting off and closing below MN-C-S 1965.163
Price is trading within last month’s body and MN QHi
Weekly – Bearish
Price pushed higher into W1 QHi and W1 Supply before reacting and closing down within newly formed W1 Demand (High in Dist. Curve) as a W1 Bear Engulf.
Daily – Bearish
D1 QHi rejection to consolidation and break down continuation giving D1-C-S 1951.264 DBD
D1 Phase 4
Sentiment summary – Bearish
MN formed an Inverted Hammer which could see follow-through. Although price has been reacting off MN Supply and is trading within MN QHi
W1 tried breaking higher through a W1 Three Outside Up, but price failed to close higher. Instead reversed to and closed within newly formed W1 demand but did not take it out. If price fails to take out demand it could be a W1 Phase 1 / 3.
D1 saw a speedbump and continued lower although not taking out D1 demand (yet)
Additional notes
Blackswan event
Focus Points for trading development
Monthly Goals
No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
No early exits, either hit SL or target
Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups