This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
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Monthly – Bearish
The month closed down within MN Supply and range tested a Base demand level
MN QHi rejected
Weekly – Bearish
W1 QHi rejected and no arrival at QLo (yet)
Price almost tested QHi again before forming a W1 Bear Engulf
Last week closed up as an Inside Bar
Daily – Bullish
D1 QLo rejected through Bull Engulf (taking out a previous D1 demand)
Slow continuation higher leaving buying wicks testing newly developed demand 4 times and consolidating
Sentiment summary – Bearish
Possible developing MN Three Outside Down after a retracement to Base demand level
W1 Bear Engulf followed by an Inside Bar not closing above 50% and closing below new W1 supply.
Slow move higher from D1 QLo, with MN/W1 QHi rejected there could be a diminished significance to the D1 QLo rejection.
Additional notes
N.A.
Focus Points for trading development
Monthly Goals
No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
Total of 15 trades by the end of the month, can take 2 a day (not in the same product at the same time)
No early exits, either hit SL or target
Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups