This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
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Monthly – Bearish
The month closed down within MN Supply and range tested a Base demand level
MN QHi rejected
Price is trading above last month’s body and range within MN supply
Weekly – Bullish
Price took out newly formed W1 Supply and created a W1 Three Outside Up (giving W1-C-D 1807.423) closing at W1 QHi within W1 Supply (3rd test). No reversal pattern yet but expect reaction off this level.
Daily – Bullish
Price took out D1 supply at D1 QHi and closed well within D1 QHi
Price closed with slight reaction off of older D1 C-sup 1862.168
Sentiment summary – Bullish
MN has broken range to the upside going against the larger timeframe sentiment although price is still developing and needs to close to confirm a change in sentiment.
W1 took out newly formed W1 Supply but is now testing another W1/MN supply above. Having closed as a W1 Three Outside Up there could be momentum behind the move. Although the third candle could be overextended. Price trading at W1 supply and W1 QHi there could be a reaction.
D1 formed a base and closed taking out D1 Supply within D1 QHi. There could be No reversal pattern formed (yet)
Additional notes
N.A.
Focus Points for trading development
Monthly Goals
No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
Total of 15 trades by the end of the month, can take 2 a day (not in the same product at the same time)
No early exits, either hit SL or target
Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups