This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
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Monthly – Slightly Bullish
Price traded higher (and closed on its high) from the Bull Engulf in April arriving at MN QHi
No arrival at MN-C-S 1965.700 yet
Weekly – Slightly Bullish
W1 Phase 2 arriving within W1 QHi and W1-C-S 1890.750 with last week trading higher
Daily – Slightly Bullish
Price arrived at D1 QHI and started consolidating then closing higher giving D1-C-D 1897(at D1 QHi) although high in distribution curve
Sentiment summary – Slightly Bullish
Price has reached MN/W1/D1 QHi but has not shown any reversal pattern (yet)
Trading higher into W1 supply is risky
If price can close below /W1 QHi and take out D1 demand it could be the end of the uptrend
Additional notes
Nonfarm Friday
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
MN-C-S 1965.700
W1-C-S 1890.750
ZOIs for Possible Long
D1-C-D 1897
Focus Points for trading development
Monthly Goals
No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
Feeling okay with NOT trading
Have ‘quieter’ weekends
Weekly Goal
Min. 3 times hitting the gym + mandatory cardio
Aim to have a minimum of ONE TRADE per trading day
Trading Rules
Be mindful of DTTZs
Only price-action based exit rules (or hit time stop)
IF NOT… I will do a Bart Simpsons exercise of 7 days, 50 sentences of: “I will trust my trading skills and take my exits accordingly”.
M15/M30 combination at 1st DTTZ, M5 entries and exits at 2nd DTTZ
Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise.
Risk Management
At least 1 trade with 1% risk, 2nd trade only if first one worked out
Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking