Premarket Prep USDCAD 05112020

This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for the Forex pair USDCAD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:

http://bearmarkettrader.com/2020/05/09/usdcad-week-20-trading-plan/

The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias.

Non-conjecture observations of the market

  • D1 Conterminous Supply Prev. Bear Engulf 1.40364 possibly a good location for a pullback
  • H4 Conterminous Supply line at 1.39378 and PVAL confluence but need TPO confirmation

Sentiment – Bearish

ZOIs for Possible Shorts

  • D1 Conterminous Supply Prev. Bear Engulf 1.40364
  • H4 Conterminous Supply line at 1.39378
  • H1 Conterminous Supply line at 1.39493

ZOIs for Possible Long

  • D1/H4 QLo after confirmation of D1 or H4 bullish price action triggering a possible swing reversal in line with larger time frame trend being up

Focus Points for trading development

  • Exit rules
    • Option 1: hold trade until noon (London time)
    • Option 2: Target hit (SL or x2 TP)
    • NO OPTION 3
      • UNLESS a trade is entered within 1 hour or half hour before the hard exit rule option 1
  • Entry rules
    • Use TPO confirmation or invalidation for directional decisions by looking for a 
      • TPO extension with a sustained move (BO from IB)
      • TPO extension with failed auction (return to IB)
      • How this direction of TPO extension relates to Value Area open sentiment
    • 09:00-10:30 – Time period for entry based on M30 and higher price action confirmation in conjunction with market profile and trade locations
    • 10:30-12:00 – Entry can be based on lower time frame price action (but stops and further analysis on M30) at higher time frame trade locations with market profile and daily range
    • No starting at M5 chart
    • Trade needs to have a target that has the chance of hitting min. X2 R/R
  • I will post trades including:
    • Trade location
    • Price action entry condition
    • What were TPOs doing at the time
    • With screenshot
  • Learn how to use the Session Range Exhaustion
  • Keep own approach of KC, VWAP as odd enhancers instead of hard trade locations

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