This is my weekly outlook on WTI Crude Oil. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
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Monthly – Slightly Bullish
Price formed a MN RBR through Bull Engulf giving MN-C-D 62.490 with one test and continuation higher arriving at MN-C-S 69.678
Price trading within MN QHi
Weekly – Slightly Bullish
W1 Bull Engulf giving W1-C-D 65.568 at W1 VWAP in UT TC above MN demand
Price trading within W1 QHi below W1-C-S 73.340
Daily – Slightly Bullish
D1 demand created through Bull Engulf at MN C-sup with consequent RBR testing said demand 3 times arriving at D1-C-S 71.50 with slight reaction
No D1 Q point activated
Sentiment summary – Slightly Bullish
MN shows a strong move higher although having arrived at a strong supply from October 2018 some reaction could be expected
W1 is showing a continued move higher as well although nearing W1-C-S 73.340. If price takes out W1 Supply End 76.899 price would take out the high of October 2018
Price arrived at a strong D1 supply with only little reaction so far which could mean a continuation until proven otherwise
Additional notes
N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
W1-C-S 73.340
D1-C-S 71.50
MN-C-S 69.678
ZOIs for Possible Long
D1-C-D 70.000
W1-C-D 65.568
MN-C-D 62.490
Focus Points for trading development
Monthly Goals
No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
Total of 13 trades by the end of the month
Weekly Goal
Min. 3 times working out at home + mandatory cardio
Risk Management
Without forcing a trade: aim to take 1 trade a day, if possible 2.
Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking