Missed Trade GBPNZD 20210520 - Bear Market Trader
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Missed Trade GBPNZD 20210520

Missed Trade GBPNZD 20210520

Play: Val­ue Accep­tance to Return to Value

#fin­twit #order­flow #day­trad­ing #trad­in­gre­view #price­ac­tion #chartre­view #GBPNZD #missed­trade

These are trades I could have tak­en but for some rea­son I did not. This could be due to me not pay­ing atten­tion or sim­ply not feel­ing like trad­ing. This is usu­al­ly the case when I am not in the right state of mind due to lack of sleep, per­son­al issues, etc.

Rea­son for miss­ing the trade (explain the narrative)

Price opened with a mod­er­ate imbal­ance below val­ue, with­in range. Due to the near-prox­im­i­ty to the val­ue edge I did not want to go long with­out an accep­tance. That and W1 sup­ply being with­in val­ue I decid­ed the bet­ter play would be a Return to Val­ue play. This came rather late into the ses­sion. G TPO formed a Grave­stone Doji and LTF showed a pos­si­ble rever­sal. M15 closed uncon­vinc­ing­ly so I decid­ed to let it go. This was fol­lowed by a M15 Bull Engulf so at first I was hap­py with not tak­ing the trade. How­ev­er then price did even­tu­al­ly go down and the trade would have been a good ‘buffer trade’. 

TAGS: D1 RBR, D1 Demand BASE, Mixed Trend, H4 UKC in UT, Below Val­ue, With­in Range, Mod­er­ate Imbal­ance, Val­ue Accep­tance, Return to Val­ue, W1 Supply, 

What would have been the Entry?

Trade 1

DTTZ: 2nd 

Entry Method: M15 Invert­ed Ham­mer / M5 Three Out­side Down combo

How was the SL place­ment and sizing?

Trade 1

SL place­ment: Stan­dard SL size would have been well above the formation

How was the prof­it target?

Trade 1

Prof­it tar­get: I was con­sid­er­ing falling the auc­tion to IB high which would have been 0.8R only


What would a price action-based exit have done for the trade?

Trade 1

Exit: 0.8R in over­lap noise (K)

What would a time-based exit have done for the trade?

Trade 1

Exit: 0.2R 

Extra Obser­va­tions

Price trad­ing mid M30 swing is risky to play off of

Pre­mar­ket prep on the day

Dai­ly Report Card on the day


Day trader. Tech geek. Sim Racing Enthusiast.

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